The third part of the list of issues 2-financial expertise <br>1. Finance: inter-temporal allocation of resources <br>2. Two ways of pricing: <br>(1) equilibrium pricing (absolute pricing) ---determined by both supply and demand --- behavioral finance (Psychology) For <br>example, mean variance analysis, CAPM <br>(2) No-arbitrage pricing (relative pricing) --- based on the price of some basic assets to price other assets such as derivatives, such as BSM model <br>3. Internet finance Where financial banks cannot be replaced, financial friction: information asymmetry; maturity mismatch <br>4. Good asset prices are high but expected returns are low (low risk), bad asset prices are low but expected returns are high <br>5. Efficient market theory: Chicago School Fama; Invalid Market Theory: Shiller <br>6. Two core contents of behavioral finance: irrationality, limited arbitrage <br>7. Bond yield to yield (Yield to maturity) is actually IRR (reinvestment risk also exists), pay P in period 0 , Face value is received at maturity, coupon is received in each period (similar to interest in each period), but pay attention to the period, IRR of bonds with different periods is not comparable, and the IRR of bonds is related to market interest rates, because P is caused by ( <br>The pricing of bonds determined by FC and market interest rates is discounted by cash flow, using the spot discount rate of each period (not equal to YTM, such as the fifth period, which is a five-year mature non-interest-bearing bond The annualized rate of return, through the existing pricing bonds to get the spot interest rate of each period, bootstrap methods), the forward interest rate is the predicted <br>duration of the future X period interest rate at a future point in time (future cash The longer the average recovery time), the more sensitive it is to changes in interest rates, that is, the greater the price change of bonds, so it is expected that future interest rates will increase and the duration will increase, the bond price will rise more; the interest rate will decrease, shorten the duration, and the bond price will decrease more. Less <br>8. Stock pricing is determined by future payoff (uncertain) and discount rate (determined by CAPM)<br>DDM---Dividend discount model (need to predict future dividend and discount rate)---simplified to get Gordon model (g dividend growth rate), why the discount rate r>g, from a mathematical point of view, otherwise sum The number sequence does not converge. The financial logic behind is: <br>g is actually the average number of future dividend growth rates, because there are fluctuations and risks in the dividend growth rate, and r is the return on investment of the stock required by the investor, so r should be greater than g Compensate for the risk of future dividend growth rate fluctuations (volatility)
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